COVID-19 and Food Insecurity in Trinidad and Tobago 1.0 Introduction
The global economy might take many years to return to pre-COVID-19 levels if the COVID-19 epidemic causes one of the world’s greatest recessions in decades. The WHO declared COVID-19 a pandemic in mid-March 2020, although the economic impact on South America may have begun even before the first cases were reported. Consequently, the global trade fell 5% in the first quarter of 2020, and plummeted by 20% for the year[1]. In addition to the obvious dangers to human health, the pandemic has a detrimental influence on the world’s food systems. It threatens food and nutrition availability, accessibility, use, and stability[2]. COVID-19 threatens food security in Trinidad and Tobago because of the tight association between economic hardship and hunger. Disruptions in supply, a change in customer demand toward lower-quality, lower-cost alternatives, and volatility in food prices all affect. Preventive measures harm Caribbean economies in numerous ways, such as reduced state income and decreased goods exports, which are predicted to fall by nearly 17% in 2020 due to these restrictions[3]. In the Caribbean, more than half of the population relies on agriculture for both their livelihoods and their ability to eat. The food security of numerous Caribbean countries and their development toward the SDGs would be jeopardized by any trade imbalances. First few months after the epidemic began, there were a number of studies looking at the impact on the globe’s economic models, food production, food hygiene and agrarian markets. In the event of a worldwide pandemic situation, the Caribbean, the Middle Eastern, and North African nations are the least likely to be affected. The anticipated loss of GDP is roughly 3% under global and amplified pandemic scenarios. There will be greater demand reductions in all food sectors in the least developed countries (LDCs) than in developed nations, and these effects will be greater for the poorest portions of populations in all countries[4]. Trinidad and Tobago would be worse affected by a reduction of roughly nine percent in 2020 after a forecast decrease in world economic growth of 5%. Agriculture and food production may rise when export revenues plummet and the country’s ability to import food decreases. Still, as demand for urban service jobs declines, more people are drawn to rural areas, where they contribute to greater food production. It is still possible to oversimplify the influence pathways by depending on global models that don’t consider local features, particularly in smaller economies. Economic costs of COVID-19 have been assessed in countries including South Africa, Ghana, and Malawi using single country analysis based on SAM multiplier models[5]According to our knowledge, there is no indication that the pandemic’s effects on the food industry and prices are translated into family food security adjustments. The evidence offered does not provide a perspective on family and production adaptability via substitution options or income and food demand dynamics after the lockdown measures are reduced. Families continue to be affected by the collective decline in economic activity.
Trinidad & Tobago is a good example of a short-term pandemic rebound in the Caribbean because of a variety of factors. For many families, remittances from abroad are their primary source of foreign money, and the government’s ability to cope with the repercussions of the epidemic is hampered because of the country’s heavy reliance on agricultural and informal enterprises[6]. Food poverty in Trinidad and Tobago remained considerable before the COVID-19 epidemic. An estimated one-third of the population was unable to meet their daily calorific requirement of 2,250 kilocalories because of the high cost of food. 35.8% of the inhabitants — or 10.4 million people — are food insecure in rural areas, contrasted to 28.9% in peri-urban areas and 24.4% in core cities. As a result, the government has implemented several public spending and fiscal measures aimed at reducing the epidemic’s impact on the economy and the incomes of those afflicted families. Labor productivity, terms of trade and tourist industry, remittances, domestic demand, and internal trade expenditures are all covered in the study. Consequently, it examines the pandemic’s impact on economic recovery and food security at a variety of levels, including the aggregate (GDP, employment, and trade), the sectorial (production levels), and the household-level (income, consumption patterns, food adequacy, and sufficiency). Various policies and Acts have all been implemented in Trinidad and Tobago to investigate the effect of lockdowns both locally and globally. Food security in Trinidad and Tobago is evaluated using a faceted methodology that considers the complex interplay between the pandemic’s effects and their occurrence